Predictions about the midterm elections next year and the presidential elections two years later should be taken seriously. But we should be mindful that what they don’t take into account (and they can’t) is sudden and unforeseen turns in the larger political/economic/ideological environment and the energy and scale of the democratic movement in the coming elections. Separately or together they can rearrange the election landscape in consequential ways and defy the predictions of the best election analysts.