A shift is afoot

The growing anti-democratic and authoritarian actions (not tendencies) of the Trump administration, Republican Party, and right wing extremist media and base is more than worrisome. One day thugs, toting guns and egged on by Trump, invade state capitals and threaten governors if they don’t open up their state, even if it is premature and likely to result in more deaths. On another U.S. Attorney General William Barr is withdrawing the Justice Department’s case against the already convicted Michael Flynn. On still another day, it is Jared Kushner, the avatar of white male privilege and the president’s son in law, suggesting that the November elections might have to be postponed. And the list could go on and on.

But as dangerous as all this is, it is less a sign of strength than a reflection of a weakening of Trump’s support on the one hand and a strengthening of the opposition against Trump on the other.

Here’s the deal.

Trump’s approval in poll after poll on a range of matters is slipping significantly, triggered no doubt by his total mishandling of the deadly pandemic, an imploding economy, and the stealing away of the lives of so many Americans. The death count is approaching 100,000 and in a month it will likely be well beyond that.

Even seniors who supported Trump 4 years ago, according to recent polling, have turned on him. It’s one thing to collude with Putin, but quite another to play Russian roulette with their lives. Too close to home for them to ignore or rationalize.

And when it comes to comparing Trump against governors, using the metric of how well each has addressed the pandemic, he fares poorly.

All this has stolen Trump’s reelection narrative of a booming stock market and economy that, he believed, would carry him over the finish line come election day. Is it any wonder why panic is rippling through the White House and Republican circles?

While this is going on, we are seeing, not surprisingly, growing support in recent polling, including in battleground states, for Joe Biden. Even Texas and Georgia appear up for grabs this fall.

What is more, the various wings of the Democratic Party are uniting in support of Biden and a progressive platform, including a science based and comprehensive approach to the Covid-19.

So while there is reason for alarm, there is also cause for hope. Momentum isn’t completely on our side, and it never will be as long as Trump is in the White House, Republicans a majority in the Senate, and Trump acolytes occupying powerful positions in the government, not least the Supreme Court.

Nevertheless a shift is afoot and shouldn’t be lost sight of. It positions the Democratic Party and the larger democratic coalition to win in November and redirect the country towards greater democracy, equality, economic recovery and security, and global cooperation.

It’s by no means guaranteed, but the makings of a such victory and an about face in the country’s direction are easier to see now than they were only a few months ago.

 

 

Nothing but Trouble

In the pre-Civil War South, enslaved people were chattel property of the slaveholding class. But they were a peculiar kind of property insofar as they thought, imagined, created, resisted, and plotted rebellions against the horrendous conditions and system in which they involuntarily found themselves. No wonder slaveholders considered them a “troublesome” property.

Today slavery resides in our collective past. And while their descendants no longer work in the fields from sun up to sun down on plantations under the threat of the whip or the hangman’s noose, they remain “troublesome.” Not to enslavers obviously, but to corporate exploiters, promoters of racism and division, and extremists on the right. Indeed, because of their intervention at critical turning points over the long expanse since slavery’s abolition, the scales of change have tipped in favor of justice, equality, and social progress.

I no longer believe “vanguard” (who leads) is the exclusive property of any economic class, social constituency, or political party. Instead, it’s earned in the course of struggles and dependent on particular circumstances and challenges at any moment or conjuncture. But if anybody comes close to claiming that moniker, it would be the African American people.

James Jackson, a brilliant African American leader of the Communist Party in the 20th century, once told me back in the 1970s that African Americans didn’t necessarily have the same degree of formal schooling as others. But what they did possess was a political IQ second to none.

I expect this fall we will see fresh evidence of this once again as they step to the plate, organize, and overwhelmingly cast their votes against Trump and his Republican cronies on Election Day.

 

Too gloomy

I find the whole discussion dismissing Joe Biden abstract, static, and narrowly constructed,. And thus of not much value. When a Biden presidency is set in the context of the worst crisis since WWII and its inevitable pressures, shifts in a progressive direction occurring in the Democratic Party and the country as a whole, and the mandate that would issue from a Biden victory on election day (and, hopefully, Congressional Democratic victory as well), I would argue that Biden will be far better than the gloomy prognostications suggested by some people on the left. In fact, I think he will surprise many of us, including his current, at times shrill, detractors

Mother’s Day 2020

Happy Mother’s Day to all the courageous mothers on the front line fighting the pandemic at great risk to themselves and untold anxiety for their families.

Main terrain

I’m going to write more about this so suffice to say that the fight over the composition and size of the next stimulus bill is the main terrain of struggle by far in the near term. If organizations and activists are creative, lots of ways can be found to involve lots of people in this struggle.